Upaya Pembangunan Hutan Tanaman Industri Untuk Penurunan Emisi Karbon (Development efforts of Plantation Forest for Carbon Emission Reduction)
Forestry Sector is one of the important sectors that contribute to changes in greenhouse gas emissions in Indonesia. Besides acting as a source of emissions, this sector also has a great potential as a carbon sink through forest planting and growth. Various planting activities including the development of plantation forests (HTI) in Indonesia has been carried out before the issues on the role of forests in climate change mitigation raised. Information on how much emissions reduction from the development of HTI compares to business as usual (BAU) condition is still unknown. Therefore, this paper aims to provide information about the level of emissions reductions from the development of HTI as well as options to increase development of plantation forests in order to reduce emissions. The study used multiple regression analysis and forecasting using regression equations. The results shows that the changes in forest cover is influenced by population density, expansion of oil palm plantation area, private of rubber plantations and industrial forest plantation development. The level of emissions in the BAU condition up to the year 2020 amounted to 10,829.32 million tonnes of CO2 eq
(10.8 Giga tonnes CO2 eq.). The increase area of plantation forest by 10% reduce annual emissions to about 319.81 Mt of CO2 eq and the increase of plantation forest area by 15% reduce emissions to approximately
204.96 Mt of CO2 eq per year.
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